Observations : What can be seen in the observations of IERS ?
There exist several data bases concerning the major earthquakes in particular the catalogue of U.S. Geological Survey. From several parameters (magnitude, localization, seismic moment..) characterizing the event one can from a model make an estimate of the effect of an event in the variations of the rotation of the earth. According to various calculations made independently from these parameters by R. Gross (JPL), B Chao (NASA) and by C Bizouard (Paris Observatory), the effect in the movement of the pole should be of a few centimetres in the polhodie and of a few microseconds of time in the duration of the day, which is not very likely to be detected seen the current precision of the observations. The Earth rotation Center of the International Earth Rotation Service (IERS) at the Observatory of Paris has in particular the role of follow-up in quasi-real time of the variations of the earth motion by using the observations resulting from various space techniques like the GPS, interferometry on extragalactic radio sources as well as laser telemetry on satellites and the Moon. The fine analyses of the variations observed in the "polhodie" (see figure 1) did not show a discernible effect.
References
- Chao B.F.and Gross R.S., 1987 : Changes in the Earth.s rotation and low degree gravitational field induced by earthquakes. Geophys J. Roy.Astron. Soc., 91, 569-596. Smylie D.E. and Manshina L., 1971 : The elasticity theory of dislocation in real Earth models and changes in the rotation of the Earth, Geophys. J. Roy. Astron. Soc., 23, 329-354. Soldati G. and Spada G., 1999 : Large earthquakes and Earth rotation : the role of mantle relaxation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26 , 911-914. Varga P., 1987 : Influence of the elastic stress accumulation on the Earth.s polar position. Proc. of the int. Symp. .Figure and dynamics of the Earth, Moon and Planets., Prague, 257-269.